Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models

Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao; Reederie Karl H. Rallos; Kit Clark D. Nob; Florence Jean B. Talirongan; Roseclaremath A. Caroro

Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models

December 2024

Vol-10, Issue-6

Paper ID: 25480

ISSN: 2395-4396

Downloads: 0

Abstract & Details

Research Area

Arts, Social Sciences, and Humanities

Keywords

Statistical modeling trend analysis ARIMA model human rights data Commission on Human Rights regional disparities forecasting Philippines social intervention

Abstract

This study examined trends and forecasts human rights violations in the Philippines from 2017 to 2022, using data from the Commission on Human Rights. We use the Linear Regression and ARIMA model to see its correlation with trends related to human rights violation cases and predict the upcoming cases. Varying regions in the Philippines display patterns of violation significantly differently, with peaks that emerged in 2019 in regions across NCR, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and Davao. Based on the ARIMA model, it was seen that for the CHR Investigation Office and NCR, it slowly increased to stabilize during later years; for regions such as Cagayan Valley and Ilocos, a fluctuating trend occurred and declined in certain periods. Conclusion: An integrated statistical model like ARIMA may further refine the anticipation of human rights violations and target interventions based on such predictive models. It supports the strategic fight for human rights in the Philippines while highlighting the role played by computational analysis in social advocacy.

License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author Information

#	Name	Institute / Affiliation
1	Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao	College of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
2	Reederie Karl H. Rallos	College of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
3	Kit Clark D. Nob	College of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
4	Florence Jean B. Talirongan	College of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
5	Roseclaremath A. Caroro	College of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines

How to Cite

Use the following formats to cite this article in your research.

APA Style

Ogao-ogao, Mark Anthony A., Rallos, Reederie Karl H., Nob, Kit Clark D., Talirongan, Florence Jean B., & Caroro, Roseclaremath A. (2024). Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 10(6), 1561-1571.

MLA Style

Ogao-ogao, Mark Anthony A., et al. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 10, no. 6, 2024, pp. 1561-1571.

IEEE Style

Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro, "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models," International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 1561-1571, 2024.

Vancouver Style

Ogao-ogao Mark Anthony A., Rallos Reederie Karl H., Nob Kit Clark D., Talirongan Florence Jean B., Caroro Roseclaremath A.. Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education. 2024;10(6):1561-1571.

Harvard Style

Ogao-ogao, Mark Anthony A., Rallos, Reederie Karl H., Nob, Kit Clark D., Talirongan, Florence Jean B., & Caroro, Roseclaremath A. (2024) 'Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models', International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 10(6), pp. 1561-1571.

Chicago Style

Ogao-ogao, Mark Anthony A., et al. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 10, no. 6 (2024): 1561-1571.

Turabian Style

Ogao-ogao, Mark Anthony A., et al. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 10, no. 6 (2024): 1561-1571.