MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS

Jean Eugène RANDRIANANTENAINA; Adolphe Andriamanga RATIARISON; Pierre Ruphin FATIANY; Jacques Chrysologue RATSIMAVO

MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS

February 2020

Vol-6, Issue-1

Paper ID: 11387

ISSN: 2395-4396

Downloads: 0

Abstract & Details

Research Area

climatology

Keywords

Drought Standardized Precipitation Index autocorrelation function partial autocorrelation function ARIMA

Abstract

The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) was applied to the series of SPI -1. The results of the evaluation of the model showed good agreement between observations and forecasts , as was also confirmed by the values of some performance indices and the results seem to be better for better SPI Serial and this may be due to increase the filter length reduces the effective noise .

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Author Information

#	Name	Institute / Affiliation
1	Jean Eugène RANDRIANANTENAINA	Department of physics, Faculty of Sciences, Toliara, Madagascar
2	Adolphe Andriamanga RATIARISON	Department of physics, DYACO laboratory, Antananarivo, Madagascar
3	Pierre Ruphin FATIANY	Department of physics, Faculty of Sciences, Toliara, Madagascar
4	Jacques Chrysologue RATSIMAVO	Department of physics, Faculty of Sciences, Toliara, Madagascar

How to Cite

Use the following formats to cite this article in your research.

APA Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA, Jean Eugène, RATIARISON, Adolphe Andriamanga, FATIANY, Pierre Ruphin, & RATSIMAVO, Jacques Chrysologue (2020). MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(1), 993-1001.

MLA Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA, Jean Eugène, et al. "MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 1, 2020, pp. 993-1001.

IEEE Style

Jean Eugène RANDRIANANTENAINA, Adolphe Andriamanga RATIARISON, Pierre Ruphin FATIANY, and Jacques Chrysologue RATSIMAVO, "MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS," International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 993-1001, 2020.

Vancouver Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA Jean Eugène, RATIARISON Adolphe Andriamanga, FATIANY Pierre Ruphin, RATSIMAVO Jacques Chrysologue. MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education. 2020;6(1):993-1001.

Harvard Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA, Jean Eugène, RATIARISON, Adolphe Andriamanga, FATIANY, Pierre Ruphin, & RATSIMAVO, Jacques Chrysologue (2020) 'MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS', International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(1), pp. 993-1001.

Chicago Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA, Jean Eugène, et al. "MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 1 (2020): 993-1001.

Turabian Style

RANDRIANANTENAINA, Jean Eugène, et al. "MODELING OF THE METEOROLOGY DROUGHT SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, APPROACH BY ARIMA PROCESS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 1 (2020): 993-1001.