BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR
Abstract & Details
Research Area
Climatology
Keywords
rainfall
climatological mean
anomaly
trend
Mann-Kendall test
Pettitt test
Principal Component Analysis
Anomalous Accumulation
sixth degree polynomial
ARIMA.
Abstract
This article presents the study of the beginning and end of the rainy season in the northwestern part of Madagascar, delimited by latitudes -14 ° and -18 ° and longitudes 44 ° to 48 °. The study area experienced a significant upward trend in precipitation of 0.03 mm per year and an increase of 0.2 mm after the rupture date of 2006. This area can be subdivided into 4 regions in relation to precipitation.
Modeling and forecasting of the beginning and end of the area's rainy season was conducted. The results reveal that a sixth degree polynomial method is adapted to model the rainfall regime of the zone and subsequently simulate its future regime by the ARIMA method.
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Author Information
| # | Name | Institute / Affiliation |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAXWELL Djaffard | Laboratory of Applied Physics and Renewable Energies, Mahajanga University, Madagascar |
| 2 | DONA Victorien Bruno | Laboratory of Applied Physics and Renewable Energies, Mahajanga University, Madagascar |
| 3 | RAKOTOVELO Geoslin | Laboratory of Applied Physics and Renewable Energies, Mahajanga University, Madagascar |
| 4 | RATIARISON Adolphe Andriamanga | Laboratory of Atmospheric, Climate and Ocean Dynamics, University of Antananarivo, Madagascar |
How to Cite
Use the following formats to cite this article in your research.
APA Style
Djaffard, MAXWELL, Bruno, DONA Victorien, Geoslin, RAKOTOVELO, & Andriamanga, RATIARISON Adolphe (2019). BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 5(4), 950-964.
MLA Style
Djaffard, MAXWELL, et al. "BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 5, no. 4, 2019, pp. 950-964.
IEEE Style
MAXWELL Djaffard, DONA Victorien Bruno, RAKOTOVELO Geoslin, and RATIARISON Adolphe Andriamanga, "BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR," International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 950-964, 2019.
Vancouver Style
Djaffard MAXWELL, Bruno DONA Victorien, Geoslin RAKOTOVELO, Andriamanga RATIARISON Adolphe. BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education. 2019;5(4):950-964.
Harvard Style
Djaffard, MAXWELL, Bruno, DONA Victorien, Geoslin, RAKOTOVELO, & Andriamanga, RATIARISON Adolphe (2019) 'BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR', International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 5(4), pp. 950-964.
Chicago Style
Djaffard, MAXWELL, et al. "BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 5, no. 4 (2019): 950-964.
Turabian Style
Djaffard, MAXWELL, et al. "BEGINNING AND END OF ANNUAL RAIN SEASON IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF MADAGASCAR." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 5, no. 4 (2019): 950-964.
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