ANALYZING CERVICAL CANCER CASES AT GWERU DISTRICT HOSPITAL IN ZIMBABWE: USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS

Economics

In this research paper, ANN models are applied to forecast cervical cancer cases seen and managed at Gweru District Hospital (GDH), Gweru, Zimbabwe. The study used a data set covering the period January 2010 – December 2019. The out-of-sample period covers the period January 2020 – December 2021. The applied neural network model is stable and thus suitable for modeling and forecasting cervical cancer cases at GDH. The results of the study generally indicate that monthly cervical cancer cases are likely to be 0, 1 or 2 in the GDH catchment area over the period January 2020 – December 2021. In order to reduce cervical cancer incidence to the barest minimum of 0 cases per month, the paper recommends regular mass cervical cancer screening, amongst other recommendations.

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