Assessing the Growth Patterns of Government Health Professionals in the Philippine Public Health Sector

Public Administration

This study examined the patterns of the Philippine government's hiring of medical doctors, dentists, midwives, and nurses from 2010 to 2015. By combining ARIMA prediction with time-series analysis, the research identifies trends in the dispersion of the workforce and makes predictions about future deployment patterns. Although the majority of regions experienced a rise in the number of health professionals between the years 2012 and 2013, select locations, such as CARAGA, experienced a decline. In the year 2025, there will likely be no change in the number of dentists and doctors; nevertheless, midwives should anticipate a steady increase in their number. However, a worrying drop in nurses is possible. These trends emphasize the need for healthcare equality and workforce sustainability. The solutions highlight strategies to retain health professionals in marginalized areas, competitive wages, and improved working conditions. The study ensures that gaps are filled. This report provides data-driven guidance for Philippine authorities to enhance workforce planning and healthcare.

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