TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Neneng Sunengsih; I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya

TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

January 2022

Vol-8, Issue-1

Paper ID: 15895

ISSN: 2395-4396

Downloads: 0

Abstract & Details

Research Area

Spatial, Bayesian, Statistics

Keywords

COVID-19 USA XGBOOTS SARIMA

Abstract

United States of America is one of the countries in the world with the highest number of COVID-19 incidences. After two years of the pandemic, COVID-19 infections in USA remain uncontrolled. Due to the omicron variant's rapid transmission, the daily number of cases in America has become more out of control. The vaccine program has failed to protect America from the highest daily rate of infection in the world. The purpose of this study was to forecast the daily incidence of COVID-19 from January to March 2022. We used a machine learning method called extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOT), as well as a more traditional approach called seasonal autoregressive moving average (ARIMA). Both models estimate that the daily number of cases in America will continue to rise until March. According to model comparisons, the XGBOOTS model outperforms the SARIMA model in terms of forecasting performance.

License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author Information

#	Name	Institute / Affiliation
1	Neneng Sunengsih	Universitas Padjadjaran
2	I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya	Universitas Padjadjaran

How to Cite

Use the following formats to cite this article in your research.

APA Style

Sunengsih, Neneng & Jaya, I Gede Nyoman Mindra (2022). TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 8(1), 328-333.

MLA Style

Sunengsih, Neneng, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 8, no. 1, 2022, pp. 328-333.

IEEE Style

Neneng Sunengsih and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya, "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA," International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 328-333, 2022.

Vancouver Style

Sunengsih Neneng, Jaya I Gede Nyoman Mindra. TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education. 2022;8(1):328-333.

Harvard Style

Sunengsih, Neneng & Jaya, I Gede Nyoman Mindra (2022) 'TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA', International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 8(1), pp. 328-333.

Chicago Style

Sunengsih, Neneng and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 8, no. 1 (2022): 328-333.

Turabian Style

Sunengsih, Neneng and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 8, no. 1 (2022): 328-333.